Pennsylvania's heavy-handed approach of shutting down the state when just 311 cases had been reported was meant to protect the state's hospital systems from a similar fate. It did in 1918, when a strain of influenza known as the Spanish flu caused a global pandemic. It's very simple. ", Daveen Rae Kurutz is a staff writer for the Beaver County Times and part of USA Today's Pennsylvania network. As the end of the 15 days drew closer, the United States became the nation with the most reported cases of the virus, surpassing China. Some of the early tests the CDC developed and shipped were faulty, and only a limited group of Americans were granted access to them. "Look, we have to make a very tough calculation here about how much, how long we can keep this economy from functioning, because if we don't, the carnage to our economy people's lives might be greater than the health risk of putting people back on the job," Moore explained in an interview with NPR. Shutting down the state closing schools, shuttering nonessential businesses andstaying home to stay safe would help slow the spread of the fast-moving virus. BabylonBee.com U.S. - The nation is preparing to celebrate what is expected to become a beloved annual holiday: Two Weeks To Slow The Spread Day, to be held in March every year. "With several of weeks of focused action we can turn the tide and turn it quickly.". Beyond emotions, it's also hard to teach letter sounds since we can't show how to move our mouths.". The curve being flattened is the epidemic curve, a visual representation of the number of infected people needing health care over time. "I was given a pretty strong look by these two people. "Truly, for many of us in public health, this was a red flag an indication that the administration had an unrealistic view of pandemic control measures and was not aware of the reality a pandemic cannot be solved in 15 days and any strategy needs to include a serious amount of work resource, and personnel," she added. "It became polarized and to wear a mask or not wear a mask was a political statement. The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has recommended that all Americans wash their hands frequently, self-isolate when they're sick or suspect they might be, and start "social distancing" (essentially, avoiding other people whenever possible) right away. All Rights Reserved. We want to hear from you. NY 10036. The pair used to love "recreational shopping," but now haven't set foot in a mall for a year. On Sunday morning, Anthony Fauci said models show 100,000 to 200,000 Americans could die from the virus, even with social distancing measures. Lab-grown minibrains will be used as 'biological hardware' to create new biocomputers, scientists propose, Insect that flings pee with a butt catapult is 1st known example of 'superpropulsion' in nature, Unknown lineage of ice age Europeans discovered in genetic study, The ultimate action-packed science and technology magazine bursting with exciting information about the universe, Subscribe today and save an extra 5% with checkout code 'LOVE5', Engaging articles, amazing illustrations & exclusive interviews, Issues delivered straight to your door or device. I guess we will all find out! As for Easter, Trump reiterated that the date had been aspirational all along. "It's just exhausting," he said. If things are tougher, then there will be a different set of decisions that have to be made. about 20%. From what I understand, one of the big problems with viruses like this one is not that everyone will get it, but that everyone gets it at nearly the same time. Then, about a week into those 15 days, Trump's message changed. December:The FDA grants Pfizer-BioNTech the first Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) for an mRNA vaccine, a new type of vaccine that has proven to be highly effective against COVID-19. We can look toward May as month when we carefully transition to new posture. NASA warns of 3 skyscraper-sized asteroids headed toward Earth this week. A week ago, the Trump administration released a 15-day plan to slow the spread of the coronavirus in the US. Meanwhile, the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) grants full approval to a drug called remdesivir for treatment of COVID-19. People start wearing masks and practicing social distancing.. Research has shown that the faster authorities moved to implement the kinds of social . Charlotte Randle knows it's going to be a while before things are "normal" again. On Sunday, the night before Day 15, Trump told the country to stick with the plan for another month, until April 30. But with slow distribution,huge demand and low supply, it hasn't been the panacea many dreamed. Around the world, the race is on to vaccinate as many people as possible in time to slow the spread of the variants. Drew Angerer/Getty Images But within a month, that information changed on a dime. By clicking Sign up, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider Two days later, China puts Wuhan under strict lockdown. "Within 48, 72 hours, thousands of people around the Philadelphia region started to die," Harris notes. "The hospital systems I think operated in good faith and just tried to make the best decisions we could with the information we had.". The doctor who helped coin the term "flatten the curve," the public health mantra aimed at easing the impact of the coronavirus, says the outbreak will test the nation's ability to transcend . A lack of knowledge was a big problem, said Robertson-James, of La Salle. In Philadelphia, Harris notes, city officials ignored warnings from infectious disease experts that the flu was already circulating in their community. Jim Watson/AFP via Getty Images A complementary measure is to increase health care capacity, to "raise the line". hide caption. Trump announced his 15-day plan to slow the spread of the coronavirus on March 16. That "two weeks to flatten the curve" turned into six weeks, which turned into 20 weeks, then 40 weeks and then 52 weeks. Vernacchio, a cancer survivor who has congestive heart failure, shuttered herself in her Pittsburgh apartment the day after her father's funeral. "I wasn't happy about it," he said on Fox News last week. On March 15, the CDC advised that all events of 50 people or more should be canceled or postponed for the next eight weeks. Jamie Baughman misses taking her children on trips. The two largest failings of the guidance were that it didn't acknowledge that people without symptoms can spread the virus and didn't say anything about wearing masks, formerBaltimore health commissioner Dr. Leana Wen said. ". By Elijah Wolfson and Sanya Mansoor. It all started with UK PM talk on the herd immunity and flattening the curve. How about Idaho? Sometimes those were coordinated and sometimes not as coordinated as they could have been. Trump and Defense Secretary Mark Esper watch as the hospital ship USNS Comfort departs Naval Base Norfolk on Saturday for New York City. Every day, the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in the U.S. grows. On March 12, 2020, time seemed to stand still. Other public health specialists weren't so forgiving of the White House's early response to the pandemic. It's common for twopatients to have completely different symptoms but both to test positive for the virus. Future US, Inc. Full 7th Floor, 130 West 42nd Street, Within hours, President Trump was saying the very same thing. Two weeks to flatten the curve turned into months of restrictions, which have turned into nearly 365 days of mask-wearing, hand-washing and worries about whether there will ever be a return to normal after life with COVID-19. ", "I'd love to have it open by Easter," he announced during a Fox News Channel virtual town hall. This reminds me of "The Blob" (one of Steve McQueen's first films. [4], Along with the efforts to flatten the curve is the need for a parallel effort to "raise the line", to increase the capacity of the health care system. We need to stick with current strategies. There were more questions than answers in the early days of quarantine. Within two days of the first reported cases, the city quickly moved to social isolation strategies, according to a 2007 analysis. On Sunday, the president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, James Bullard, told Bloomberg that the US unemployment rate could surge to 30% in the coming months. It was the battle cry of the early days of the pandemic: 14 days to flatten the curve. The calculation you can't fix the economy until you fix the virus was the very message Trump himself was delivering two weeks ago. He expressed amazement that the streets of New York City were empty, and dismay about conditions at Elmhurst Hospital in Queens. Burgeoning caseloads overwhelmed hospitals, while health care workers became heroes, putting in long, harrowing hours, often (in those early days) without sufficient supplies, to care for patients with COVID-19. It's hard to have anything to look forward to. But come November, his advisers say what will matter the most is that the crisis is contained and the economy has turned a corner. This Project is supported by Bloomberg Philanthropies and the Stavros Niarchos Foundation (SNF). It needs to "raise the line. Italy has been under a nationwide lockdown for about four weeks and the country has begun to flatten the curve. As Americans, we aren't used to not knowing the best way to deal with a medical issue, Robertson-James said. Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images then-U.S. A flatter curve, on the other hand, assumes the same number of people ultimately get infected, but over a longer period of time. That phrase and charts illustrating the. hide caption. "People are tired of that, and we all understand that. But you know, people are still getting diagnosed with this every day. But she misses normal occasional trips with her sister, dinners out with her husband and family. Dr. Oxiris Barbot the former New York City health chief who led the Big Apple through the beginning of the pandemic when the state was seeing almost 1,000 daily deaths told CNBC it was apparent by late February that the coronavirus had the potential to become catastrophic. "At the beginning of this, we had the kind of usual supportive care we are used to providing for patients that have respiratory failure pneumonia. "There were issues with miscommunication or a different communication around the severity of the virus, and around recommendations and leaders following the recommendations versus those who weren't," Robertson-James said. Medical workers are seen outside Elmhurst Hospital Center in the Queens borough of New York City on Thursday. "It's like everything stopped," said Vernacchio, 63. After two Pennsylvanians testing positive for the virus swiftly turned into hundreds, public health officials were adamant. We are almost at the one-year anniversary from when the U.S. government and state and local governments announced the start of "two weeks to flatten the curve". And the history of two U.S. cities Philadelphia and St. Louis illustrates just how big a difference those measures can make. But if St. Louis had waited another week or two to act, it might have suffered a fate similar to Philadelphia's, the researchers concluded. Epidemiologists, How Did I Do? The shade of the colors indicates the size of each states growth or decline in new cases; the darker the shade, the bigger the change. As a result, the city saw just 2,000 deaths one-eighth of the casualties in Philadelphia. "There was so much we didn't know about this disease at the time," Wen said. Numerous Trump allies and advisers told NPR in recent days that Trump is keenly aware that his own political fortunes now hinge on how he handles the coronavirus. Notably, the 15-day guidance made no mention of who should seek out testing and under what circumstances. "I don't even know anymore. It has been an emotional time marked by startling daily counts of new cases and deaths that multiplied rapidly. "That is where we should focus now.". (Image credit: Johannes Kalliauer/ CC BY-SA 4.0), Cosmic rays reveal 'hidden' 30-foot-long corridor in Egypt's Great Pyramid, New Hubble footage shows exact moment a NASA spacecraft slammed into an asteroid 7 million miles from Earth, Watch footage of 1,000 baleen whales in record-breaking feeding frenzy in Antarctica, Otherworldly 'fairy lantern' plant, presumed extinct, emerges from forest floor in Japan. In the U.S., the Grand Princess cruise ship is held at sea off the coast of California after 21 of the 3,500 people aboard test positive for the virus. "There's a lot that's changed for me even outside of COVID," Randle said. Some of his confidantes told Trump to leave decisions about shutting down activity up to individual governors. I said, 'Are you serious about this?' February: There is not enough vaccine supply to meet the demand. Two weeks ago, President Trump entered the White House briefing room and announced an aggressive plan to slow the spread of the coronavirus. That was itsown learning curve, she said. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) reports that people who had recently tested positive were about twice as likely to have reported dining at a restaurant than were those with negative test results. "The situation was really beyond the scope of what any of us could have imagined at the time," Robertson-James said. There were so many symptoms to COVID and a different level of transmission that hasn't been seen in American viruses before, she said. This website is a resource to help advance the understanding of the virus, inform the public, and brief policymakers in order to guide a response, improve care, and save lives. President Trump on Sunday described models showing U.S. coronavirus cases could peak in two weeks at Easter a time when he had hoped things would be back to normal for parts of the country. I get that distancing ourselves will slow the spread, but it will not cure the virus. Since the state's first two presumed positive caseswere reported on March 6, 2020, the pandemic has sickened more than 900,000 Pennsylvanians and left more than 23,000 dead in the commonwealth. [9] Governments, including those in the United States and France, both prior to the 2009 swine flu pandemic, and during the decade following the pandemic, both strengthened their health care capacities and then weakened them. By the way, for the markets. For the latest coronavirus case total and death toll, see. "It's definitely revealed the disparities that we have health disparities and social inequities, but also the sort of patchwork of our public health system," she said. "People are still getting sick every day. "We've only been out a handful of times since this began. Trump said he asked them about his plans to reopen parts of the country that had been less affected by the virus. In the beginning, Trump focused on the virus. Italy hit its apparent peak in daily cases on March 20, with more than 6,000. At the time, as city and state officials rushed to implement restrictions to curb the outbreak. Measures such as hand washing, social distancing and face masks reduce and delay the peak of active cases, allowing more time for healthcare capacity to increase and better cope with patient load. "If everyone makes this change or these critical changes and sacrifices now, we will rally together as one nation and we will defeat the virus and we're going to have a big celebration all together," Trump said at a White House press briefing on March 16, 2020, where he also announced the first vaccine candidate entering phase 1 clinical trials. It has been one year since Governor Wolf called on Pennsylvanians to take steps in order to keep hospitals from becoming overwhelmed due to the COVID-19 pandemic. It's done, over, finished. To comply, many states have temporarily closed public schools, and many businesses have advised employees to work from home if possible. That really, really kind of threw us for a while until we were able to kind of better understand that.". By Friday, Trump was showing signs of frustration, lashing out at critics like two Democratic governors he said had not shown enough appreciation for the federal response. BY KATHY KATELLA March 9, 2021. "Your workplace bathroom has only so many stalls," Charles Bergquist, director of the public radio science show "Science Friday" tweeted. June:Efforts to reopen the economy leads to new cases, and the curve is not flattening. The next two weeks will be "absolutely critical" for containing the virus, Elaine Morrato, dean of the Parkinson School of Health Sciences and Public Health at Loyola University Chicago, told Business Insider. The ever-evolving landscape of the COVID virus was more than public health officials expected. Avoid groups of more than 10 people. Norway adapted the same strategy on March 13. As for just how big the current coronavirus pandemic will be in America? Vice President Pence, who leads the White House coronavirus task force, said the decision about what to do next would be guided by data, and the country would only reopen in sections, bit by bit, when it could be done responsibly. Visit our corporate site (opens in new tab). [16], According to The Nation, territories with weak finances and health care capacity such as Puerto Rico face an uphill battle to raise the line, and therefore a higher imperative pressure to flatten the curve. He holds a bachelor's degree in creative writing from the University of Arizona, with minors in journalism and media arts. March:The WHO characterizes COVID-19 as a pandemic. By the end of the month, B.1.1.7 is detected in the U.S. January: In the U.S., the number of cases and deaths begins to fall. "I can't give you a number," he said. As a result, St. Louis suffered just one-eighth of the flu fatalities that Philadelphia saw, according to that 2007 research. "We know that early and aggressive containment strategies are most effective in saving lives," Morrato said. Shouldn't they have seen it coming? ", "I think one of the biggest regrets that I have is that we didn't have the testing that we needed to have," Barbot said. These two curves have already played out in the U.S. in an earlier age during the 1918 flu pandemic. But eight days after the plan came out, the US continues to witness dramatic daily spikes in coronavirus cases. On March 11, 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared COVID-19, the disease caused by the SARS-CoV-2, a pandemic. Her husband was a caregiver to his parents, meaning the entire family had to go on lockdown. Tags Anthony Fauci Coronavirus Donald Trump Social distancing July:The pandemic is causing an uptick in mental health issues as job losses continue to soar, parents juggle working at home with caring for or homeschooling children, and young adults grow frustrated by isolation from friends and limited job prospects. She added that failings by the federal government to prioritize the testing of large parts of the population was one of the earliest missteps. Access your favorite topics in a personalized feed while you're on the go. A Division of NBCUniversal. Within six months, about 16,000 people had died. In fact, top U.S. health officials were urging Americans not to buy masks at the end of February in a bid to preserve supply for health-care providers. State officials continue to ask Pennsylvanians to stay the course. Instead, they moved forward with a massive parade in support of World War I bonds that brought hundreds of thousands of people together. That "two weeks to flatten the curve" turned into six weeks which turned into 20 weeks then 40 weeks and then 52 weeks. There are enough resources for us all to be hospitalized once in our lives, but there isn't enough for us to all do it today. Our New COVID-19 VocabularyWhat Does It All Mean? A former critical care nurse, she's worked through H1N1 and other pandemics. "They are NOT effective in preventing general public from catching coronavirus, but if health-care providers can't get them to care for sick patients, it puts them and our communities at risk! "If everyone makes this change, or these critical changes, and sacrifices now, we will rally together as one nation and we will defeat the virus," he said. Bars and restaurants across the state have tried innovation after innovation to stay afloat with fewerand fewer patrons. But. If the same number of people need go to the restroom but spread over several hours, it's all ok.". After a year of staying home, social distancing and washing their hands, people are hitting a wall. If the Biden administration can predict inflation, how did we get to 7.9%? This rapid growth rate in Italy has already filled some hospitals there to capacity, forcing emergency rooms to close their doors to new patients, hire hundreds of new doctors and request emergency supplies of basic medical equipment, like respirator masks, from abroad. The Trump administration has released a 15-day plan to slow the spread of the coronavirus in the US. The UK reports that a new variant of the virus, called B.1.1.7, could be more contagious. The past year was something health workers had never experienced before, said Susan Hoolahan, president of UPMC Passavant. Health officials take for granted that COVID-19 will continue to infect millions of people around the world over the coming weeks and months. "We can do two things at one time. hide caption. Tuesday marked one year since President Donald Trump announced his administration's "15 days to slow the spread" campaign, asking Americans to stay home for about two weeks in an effort to. "Wouldn't it be great to have all of the churches full? One public-health expert said social distancing should be enforced until a vaccine is developed in 12 to 18 months. The White House Covid task force aggressively promoted this line, as did the news media and much of the epidemiology . Cases were surging in bordering states like New York, overwhelming hospitals in New York City and leaving temporary morgues overflowing. The initiative should not have been tied to a timeline, she said, but instead to a specific task like reducing daily new infections to a certain level. President Trump on Sunday described models showing U.S. coronavirus cases could peak in two weeks at Easter a time when he had hoped things would be back to normal for parts of the country. Lifting social distancing measures prematurely, while cases continue to increase or remain at high levels, could result in a resurgence of new cases. The voices urging a pullback became louder. "Simply put, 15 days is not enough to address so much of what we were facing in March 2020 and this plan really reveals an administration and national plan that was quite superficial in response," Popescu said in an email. Rice and Hoolahan said that UPMC the largest non-governmentemployer in the state with 40 hospitals and700 doctors offices and outpatient campuses in western and central Pennsylvania and other health care communities responded quickly as information came available on how to treat, prevent and handle the virus.
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