The 5.4-magnitude quake was centered about 30 miles south of Eureka. 1989 Loma Prieta Earthquake. EARTHQUAKE PREDICTIONS: EXPERIENCED AND IMAGINED The Palmdale Bulge The Los Angeles Prediction The Haicheng Prediction The . Copyright 2023 KABC Television, LLC. In a U.S. Geological Survey report published in 2008 detailing a hypothetical magnitude 7.8 earthquake in Southern California, scientists said a plausible aftershock scenario included a magnitude 6.95 quake that would shake Sacramento and Modesto three days after the mainshock, endangering the stability of the levees, which are crucial for maintaining flood control and water movement from the northern Sierra Nevada to cities across the state. The HayWired earthquake scenarioEngineering implications, The HayWired earthquake scenarioWe can outsmart disaster, UCERF3: A new earthquake forecast for California's complex fault system, United States Geological Survey (USGS) Natural Hazards Response, Earth Resources Observation and Science Center, Earth Resources Observation and Science (EROS) Center, Preparing for a "Big One": The great southern California shakeout, Putting down roots in earthquake country: Your handbook for the San Francisco Bay region, The USGS Earthquake Hazards Program - investing in a safer future, 60% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 6.7, 46% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 7, 31% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 7.5, 72% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 6.7, 51% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 7, 20% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 7.5. According to a UCLA study, the majority of the injuries from the damaging 1994 Northridge earthquake were from heavy furniture and household objects falling on people. A magnitude 4.2 earthquake shook Southern California early Wednesday, officials said. LOS ANGELES (KABC) -- A warning about a purported earthquake that was "likely" to rock Southern California earlier this week gained just enough visibility to alarm some residents of the. (5.2 miles), 2023-02-18 03:09:03 UTC The last big shock hit the fault in 1857. Sign up for our trending newsletter to get the latest news of the day. How do I decide whether or not to get earthquake insurance? Is it safe to go to X since they've been having a lot of earthquakes lately? (8.2 miles), 2023-02-17 08:46:00 UTC San Andreas Fault on Pallet Creek Road in Juniper Hills. 26.2 km from (4.2 miles), 2023-02-20 10:26:11 UTC What is seismic hazard? Discover the peace of mind with the smart financial decision to buy earthquake insurance in Los Angeles. A seismic zone is used to describe an area where earthquakes tend to focus; for example, the New Madrid Seismic Zone in the Central United States. What is ShakeAlert? Earthquake prediction has been a hope since the ground shifted beneath ancient peoples. The San Andreas fault produced the epic 1906 quake that destroyed San Francisco. 13.2 km from Rong-Gong Lin II is a Metro reporter based in San Francisco who specializes in covering statewide earthquake safety issues and the COVID-19 pandemic. That 6.7-magnitude quake killed 57 people and caused an estimated $20 billion in damage. This event would cause substantial further damage throughout the San Gabriel Valley, perhaps increasing the financial losses and deaths by 20% to 30%, the U.S. Geological Survey said in the 2008 report. Judith Hubbard, a visiting professor at Cornell University, said that such a quake might be large. at 22:27 February 15, 2023 UTC, Location: The existence of the San Andreas fault was brought intensely to world attention in 1906 when abrupt displacement along the fault produced the great earthquake and fire in San Francisco. Los Angeles and Big Sur on the Pacific Plate. How many times did a quake actually happen? If your home was built before 1980 it may be vulnerable toserious structural damage. Concrete buildings can be especially deadly because they are so massive. The region has faults that run through areas with thousands of buildings and millions of people. Learn about earthquake survival tips to keep your family prepared before the next big one hits. (5.2 miles), 2023-02-23 00:13:05 UTC The San Andreas fault system consists of many parallel and active fault strands with variable rates of motion. Earthquake faults are huge cracks in the earth's surface that form a borderline between shifting tectonic plates. Epicenter at 34.269, -117.956 NOTE: In the event of an earthquake, the safest place to be is not in a doorway, but under a table or desk. Other owners began getting orders in 2017. To accomplish this goal, products and services provided by the National Geospatial Program (NGP) and Land Remote Sensing (LRS) Program serve as a geos, The Great Southern California ShakeOut was a week of special events featuring the largest earthquake drill in United States history. An earthquake is a sudden, rapid shaking of the earth caused by the shifting of rock beneath the earths surface. The second quake with a magnitude 7.1 lasted 12 seconds and was felt by about 30 million people from Sacramento to San Diego. That raises the issue of whether a California quake of similar strength might someday occur not on the San Andreas but on a secondary fault. 4.2 km from Loma Linda This prediction most likely came from: a geologist A scientist announces that the best possible chance for finding life on other bodies within our solar system would be on Jupiter's moon Europa. Hundreds more could die from fire following a quake along the 52-mile fault. Wednesday's earthquake jolted some Southern Californians awake in the early morning. Latest Earthquakes 4.6 129 km SSW of La Esperanza (El Zapotal), Mexico 2023-03-02 03:58:55 (UTC-08:00) 32.8 km 3.0 6km SE of Lake Pillsbury, CA 2023-03-02 03:54:33 (UTC-08:00) 9.6 km 4.5 Mindoro, Philippines 2023-03-02 01:51:39 (UTC-08:00) 130.6 km 2.8 3 km WNW of El Moro, Colorado 2023-03-02 01:09:37 (UTC-08:00) 7.4 km 4.5 Follow this computer simulation "San Andreas Earthquake Scenario" to view a 186-mile rupture from Bombay Beach to Lake Hughes. Jones also shared this bemusing anecdote: "The 1986 North Palm Springs M5.9 was the first big quake after I moved to California," she tweeted. Search-and-rescue workers from Los Angeles have returned from Turkey after spending weeks assisting in the aftermath of the region's massive earthquake, which killed tens of thousands of people and displaced hundreds of thousands more. Government disaster assistance, if available, may only come in the form of a small grant or capped loan, which may cover only a portion of your repair costs and may need to be repaid. Epicenter at 34.134, -117.471 ShakeAlert is not earthquake prediction, rather a ShakeAlert Message indicates that an earthquake has begun and shaking is imminent. Los Angeles newsroom shakes live on air as earthquake hits California, Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged in, Please refresh your browser to be logged in, China mourns heroic Strong-Willed Pig that survived earthquake after it dies of old age, Earth Quake In Turkey: Teams bring in listening equipment, Watch US Navy trial causing earthquake after blasting 18 tonnes of explosives in Atlantic, Assam earthquake: Damage reported as magnitude 6.4 tremor hits northeast India. at 10:26 February 20, 2023 UTC, Location: When a reporter asked if the quake had been predicted, Tom calmly replied 'Not yet.' In the 1994 Northridge earthquake, about 200 soft-story buildings collapsed, including one apartment building in which 16 people died. 3.4. 12.2 km from (Must be before the quake - postdictions don't count.) Epicenter at 34.052, -118.931 Seismologist Lucy Jones says the outcome will be worse if it happens on faults in metropolitan areas, such as Hollywood. Yucaipa A magnitude 4.2 earthquake struck early Wednesday . Mega-quakes that could rupture the southern San Andreas fault from near the Mexican border through Los Angeles County and beyond could trigger major aftershocks and shake cities as far away as Sacramento and San Francisco, according to documents and interviews. Without Loss of Use earthquake coveragewhich includes covering your additional expenses of living elsewhere due to earthquake damageyoud still be paying your mortgage plus temporary housing rent during the time repairs are underway. The San Andreas fault is capable of magnitude 7.8 earthquakes. 6.2 km from The scientists studying the powerful earthquakes that devastated parts of Turkey and Syria this month may bring new insights to a seismic zone that is strikingly similar: the San Andreas Fault in California. at 05:28 February 11, 2023 UTC, Location: The Ridgecrest earthquakes followed a 25-year "quiet period" after Northridge. Anyone can read what you share. This includes both improving the design of new buildings and bridges as well as strengthening older units to incorporate the latest advances in seismic and structural engineering. Northridge at a 6.7 magnitude earthquake killed 58 people, injured more than 9,000 and caused more than $49 billion in economic loss. at 17:10 March 03, 2023 UTC, Location: Los Angeles earthquake risk encompasses ofover one hundred active faults that are ready to slip. Epicenter at 34.05, -117.251 Determining your risk with regard to earthquakes, or more precisely shaking from earthquakes, isn't as simple as finding the nearest fault. Spirit kept grabbing their wrist, time is short. What is the probability of a largeearthquake striking Southern California? The fault runs through high populous areas such as the San Francisco Bay Area and the Greater Los Angeles Area. You can add the coverage today, no need to wait until your home policy comes up for renewal. at 18:25 February 25, 2023 UTC, Location: What is an aftershock? As a subscriber, you have 10 gift articles to give each month. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites. Cities such as Santa Monica, West Hollywood, Culver City, Beverly Hills and Pasadena now have laws requiring soft-story buildings to be retrofitted. The magnitude of an earthquake isnt enough to determine how much death and destruction it will cause. Disruptions in water, electricity and communications could last weeks. Ever since, the North American plate has ground against the Pacific plate at a boundary called a strike-slip fault. A quake as strong as magnitude 8.2 is possible on the southern San Andreas fault and would bring disaster to all of Southern California simultaneously, with the fault rupturing from near the Mexican border to Monterey County. 6.2 km from (3.2 miles), 2023-02-11 22:53:30 UTC (3.2 miles), 2023-02-08 03:38:27 UTC But the Hayward fault in the East Bay also poses a major threat, experts say. Dr. Barnhart said researchers would be looking at whether a quake on the main fault could result in a large aftershock similar to what happened in Turkey. Epicenter at 34.264, -118.477 Map Information How do earthquakes get on these maps? Muscoy Two kinds of scientific models inform decisions of how to safeguard against earthquake losses: (1) an earthquake rupture forecast tells us where and when the Earth might slip along the state's many faults, and (2) a ground motion prediction model estimates the ensuing shaking from a fault rupture. Greater Los Angeles Area, California has had: (M1.5 or greater) 1 earthquake in the past 24 hours. Search Earthquakes Near You ( Relative2Me ). He also said the sequence of earthquakes in Turkey showed that it was difficult to forecast how one quake might affect another. The reason for a such a powerful aftershock has much to do with where it was located: on a separate fault from the first one. LOS ANGELES (KABC) -- A warning about a purported earthquake that was "likely" to rock Southern California earlier this week gained just enough visibility to alarm some residents of the region -- before the noted seismologist Lucy Jones took to Twitter and offered valuable insight into how dubious the forecasts from some self-described predictors can be. The geological survey estimates that there is about a 30 percent chance of a 7.5-magnitude earthquake in the Los Angeles area in the next 30 years, and a 20 percent chance in the San Francisco Bay Area. 1.2 km from Epicenter at 34.26, -117.012 It's not an earthquake. Why are there different maps, and which one should I use? (The magnitude 6.7 Northridge earthquake, which occurred on a much smaller fault in the San Fernando Valley, was 45 times weaker than the so-called Ft. Tejon quake.). How will my house hold up in an earthquake? Damage to homes? It also sparked reactions on social media including tweets from celebrities like SZA,Chance The Rapperand more. Epicenter at 34.216, -117.417 Predicting when earthquakes are going to happen remains difficult, San Jose State University geologist Kimberly Blisniuk told the Los Angeles Times in March. The Lab serves as a focal point for earthquake information in Southern California and the world. Spirit pointed to a book I write predictions in implying this is an old prediction. It is possible that when the next Los Angeles earthquake strikes, 270,000 people could be displaced. Epicenter at 34.251, -118.652 Simulations of huge quakes in California show how aftershocks can occur far from the mainshock. Top Russian scientist who created Sputnik V Covid vaccine is strangled to death with a belt in his Moscow apartment in row with intruder, STATISTICAL FACT: Youre far more likely to die from covid vaccines than from covid itself. Our insurance rates, based on the latest science and research, are determined by several factors including your homes age, location near a fault, foundation type, construction type, and roof type. One scenario includes a magnitude 6.4 earthquake in Cupertino, in the heart of Silicon Valley, more than five months after the mainshock, a USGS report said. CEA earthquake insurance is easy to buy. According to The ShakeOut Scenario, a 7.8 earthquake hitting along the southern San Andreas fault on a non-windy day at about 9:00 a.m. will unfold, approximately, like this: 1,800 people will. (0.2 miles), 2023-02-23 13:18:05 UTC And scientists will likely be able to apply what they learn about that aftershock to the San Andreas. As many as 270,000 . Los Angeles earthquakes also happen on quiet faults. According to unpublished data gathered by MyShake, on September 19, 2020, during a 4.5-magnitude quake east of Los Angeles, ninety per cent of alerted users received their warning before the. Providing exclusive original content and interviews with some of the best known voices in the world of economics and precious metals. Things came out of the refrigerator. Learn about the smaller earthquakes impacting Northern California. What is the probability that an earthquake is a foreshock to a larger earthquake? The USGS uses these four terms to refer to four different things. 30 percent chance of a 7.5-magnitude earthquake, have found shelter on a 538-foot luxury boat. (1.2 miles), 2023-02-23 13:30:26 UTC A magnitude 7.8 earthquake would be so powerful that it causes widespread damage and consequently affects lives and livelihoods of all southern Californians. Learn about the potentialgeologic threatsto your home in case of a major earthquake by learning your Los Angeles earthquake risk. Los Angeles . Contact 211 for less urgent matters. Now one quake prediction research firm warned that the next big one could be imminent. The calculation is based on the latest available information from seismic hazard data. The ShakeOut scenario focused on unretrofitted brick buildings, brittle concrete buildings and so-called soft-story apartment buildings. - 10/26 to 10/27 - (most likely on the morning of 10/27) - http . The California ShakeOut is just a drill. Port Hueneme Ojai Theres just not great way to know when exactly The Big One may come, according to seismologist Dr Lucy Jones. at 04:33 February 23, 2023 UTC, Location: Moreno Valley Compared to the previous assessment issued in 2008, UCERF2, the estimated rate of earthquakes around magnitude 6.7, the size of the destructive 1994 Northridge earthquake, has gone down by about 30 percent. at 13:30 February 23, 2023 UTC, Location: Running Springs Official websites use .gov Villa Park Deep Earthquake Rattles Much Of Southern California. Epicenter at 34.266, -117.641 Winter storm forecast to reach East Coast after crossing the country. (3.2 miles), 2023-02-12 23:35:25 UTC Contributed by the Griffin Family, courtesy of U.S. Geological Survey. Wrightwood The chances of experiencing shaking from an earthquake and/or having property damage is dependent on many different factors. Epicenter at 33.823, -117.484 So for a 7.8 earthquake, we would expect a 6.8 magnitude. At 7.5, the aftershock was more than 10 times stronger than the largest expected one. Casa Conejo Earthquake Prediction Issues and Concerns Social utility of earthquake prediction Possible negative consequences Generic questions for public policy Changes in the Time Parameters of Predictions PAGE vi i i ix II. On Dec. 20, a 6.4-magnitudeearthquake also struck near Eureka. And the latest shakings might suggest a long overdue big quake could be nearing. (1.2 miles), 2023-02-09 10:32:31 UTC (6.2 miles), 2023-02-23 04:33:37 UTC The risks that earthquakes pose to society, including death, injury, and economic loss, can be greatly reduced by (1) better planning, construction, and mitigation practices before earthquakes happen, and (2) providing critical and timely information to improv, This handbook provides information about the threat posed by earthquakes in the San Francisco Bay region and explains how you can prepare for, survive, and recover from these inevitable events. If you live or work in the region, you need to know why you should be concerned with earthquakes, what you can expect during and after a quake, and what you need to do beforehand to be safe and reduce damag, New Audiences, New Products for the National Seismic Hazard Maps, 12201 Sunrise Valley Drive Reston, VA 20192, Region 2: South Atlantic-Gulf (Includes Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands), Region 12: Pacific Islands (American Samoa, Hawaii, Guam, Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands), Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast 3. 40-50% larger at distances less than 30 km)than . Damage in San Francisco after the 1906 earthquake. Quakes have contributed to the downfalls of ancient civilizations in China and the Middle East. So out to something like 1,000 kilometers [620 miles], we have an increased chance of having earthquakes, Jones said. The last two big earthquakes to strike Los Angeles the 1971 Sylmar quake and 1994 Northridge quake caused destruction and loss of life. Can the USGS send someone out to evaluate my property? The reporting region of the SCSN is shown enclosed in the orange polyon. The event is a good reminder to be prepared for an earthquake. The last two big earthquakes to strike Los Angeles the 1971 Sylmar quake and 1994 Northridge quake caused destruction and loss of life. That means the Santa Monica Bay quake, roughly 250 miles from the southernmost end of the ruptured San Andreas fault, would be considered an aftershock of the 1906 San Francisco quake. at 10:32 February 09, 2023 UTC, Location: 316 earthquakes in the past 365 days. at 00:13 February 23, 2023 UTC, Location: Map Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) The death toll could be among the worst for a natural disaster in U.S. history: nearly 1,800. (8.2 miles), 2023-02-06 07:00:42 UTC Also see:-- Probability of an Earthquake in the Los Angeles Region-- Los Angeles is Moving. The services DOC provides are designed to balance today's needs with tomorrow's obligations by fostering the wise use and conservation of energy, land and mineral resources. Epicenter at 33.823, -117.486 In the Turkey quake, thousands of buildings were reported to have collapsed in a wide area extending from the Syrian cities of Aleppo and Hama to Turkeys Diyarbakir, more than 200 miles to the northeast. NSF Org: . More than 6,000 homes lost power. The length of the ruptured fault nearly 300 miles is important. at 07:00 February 06, 2023 UTC, Location: California has an average of five earthquakes per year with magnitudes between 5 and 6, according to LATimes. The Bay Area native is a graduate of UC Berkeley and started at the Los Angeles Times in 2004. As the MyShake app was put to the test during the 5.1 earthquake near San Jose, experts also discuss when a 7.5 quake could rock the Bay Area. Are you ready for the big one? While both past California earthquakes have been studied extensively, modern technology is allowing the Turkish quakes to be analyzed in elaborate detail, practically in real time, using ground-based seismic sensors, satellite-borne radar and other instruments. The USGS Seismic Hazard Maps website and the Unified Hazard Tool (for building custom maps) are designed to display the probability of different events that might occur in a several-year to several-decade period. The last Big One occurred in 1906, a 7.9 quake that moved 300 miles of fault, razed large parts of San Francisco, and killed more than 3,000 people in the deadliest earthquake in US history. (3.2 miles), 2023-02-05 04:29:58 UTC Major utilities such as gas, power and cell service would likely be severely compromised. at 13:18 February 23, 2023 UTC, Location: Whatever the main shock magnitude is, you should expect the largest aftershock to be about one magnitude unit smaller, she said. The National Seismic Hazards Mapping project provides an online Web tool for determining the probability of a large earthquake within 50 kilometers (~31 miles) of a specific location in the United States over a certain time period. Then a visual of a large 3. Brick buildings: Some cities like Los Angeles long ago required retrofits of un-reinforced brick buildings. at 23:35 February 12, 2023 UTC, Location: Extended periods without essential utilities such as water and gas? The East and North Anatolian and the San Andreas are all transform faults, products of the stresses that build at the boundary where one of the Earths large crustal plates slowly moves past another. ", The Tuesday evening tweet went on to receive more than 600 "likes" and nearly 400 retweets. Home Gardens A seismic hazard zone describes an area with a particular level of hazard due to earthquakes. Spirit pointed to a map showing, Bakersfield, Los Angeles area. There are over a hundred smaller active faults in the Los Angeles region that can cause damaging earthquakes like the Northridge earthquake in 1994, along the Raymond fault. 1.2 km from . Location, time of day, building codes and other factors make a big difference. Los Angeles Earthquake Prediction - What is LA's Risk of Getting Hit? The 7.1 and 6.4 quakes were the largest to strike in twenty years. Start your Independent Premium subscription today. The plate is moving slowly all the time, but the edges move in fits and starts. Sacramento, CA 95814, Privacy & Social Media Policies|Terms of Use | Site Map. The Bay Area native is a graduate of UC Berkeley and started at the Los Angeles Times in 2004. Another plausible scenario: A magnitude 7.8 earthquake on the southern San Andreas fault, rupturing near the Mexican border to Lake Hughes near Santa Clarita spurs a magnitude 7.2 aftershock on the Cucamonga fault, rupturing between the Cajon Pass and Monrovia. On November 13, 2008, over 5 million Southern Californians pretended that the magnitude-7.8 ShakeOut scenario earthquake was occurring and practiced actions derived from results of the ShakeOut Scenario, to reduce the impact of a real, San Andreas Fault event. Find out more about recent Southern California earthquakes. L.A. hits $1-billion earthquake milestone: 8,000 buildings retrofitted, These are some of the major earthquake risks facing California, L.A.s many dangerous faults pose challenge for earthquake early warning system, Why some huge earthquakes cause great destruction while others do little damage, Desperate mountain residents trapped by snow beg for help; We are coming, sheriff says, Hidden, illegal casinos are booming in L.A., with organized crime reaping big profits. The San Andreas formed about 30 million years ago as the North American plate swallowed nearly all of the Farallon plate. Earthquakes strike without warning, at any time of year, day or night. Since Loma Prieta, bay-region communities, governments, and utilities have invested tens of billions of dollars in seismic upgrades and retrofits and replac, The HayWired earthquake scenario, led by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), anticipates the impacts of a hypothetical magnitude-7.0 earthquake on the Hayward Fault. Multiple aftershocks followed, and on Friday, July 5th, another earthquake struck with a magnitude of 7.1. Experts have long warned that a significantly larger quake will eventually strike and that the toll will be far greater. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information, Heres what would happen if a huge quake hit Los Angeles. California has been working to improve seismic safety rules for vulnerable buildings. In California, that probability is about 6%. LOS ANGELES CA US 90071-3173: Primary Place of Performance Congressional District: 34: . Epicenter at 34.191, -117.442 But the 7.5 aftershock that occurred soon after the first quake was unusual, Dr. Kilb said. (4.2 miles), 2023-02-21 17:52:31 UTC 5.2 km from (7.2 miles), 2023-02-19 16:25:34 UTC But recent quakes striking California, including clusters of low-level tremors in Southern California in June and a swarm in April, dont seem likely to increase the chances of this disaster, which experts believe could cause 1,800 deaths and a $200bn bill when it finally strikes. 15,700. Im surprise we havent had it yet we average 150 years between San Andreas events and its been 350 on the southernmost part, she wrote on Twitter in May. Earthquake scientists say that a subsequent quake that is generated one ruptured fault length away from the mainshock can be considered an aftershock. In Southern California, a magnitude 7.8 quake struck in 1857. This is the initial publication of the results of a cooperative project to examine the implications of a major earthquake in southern California. 1.4 earthquake - 2km WSW of Anderson Springs, CA, on Thursday, March 2, 2023 at 23:23 GMT. Heres What That Means. at 00:23 February 05, 2023 UTC, Location: Epicenter at 34.301, -117.031 OPINION (MS) - We just witnessed the largest earthquakes to hit California in decades, and this has caused many to search for prophecies regarding even more destructive California earthquakes in the future. The Hayward fault is so dangerous because it runs through some of the most heavily populated parts of the Bay Area, spanning the length of the East Bay from the San Pablo Bay through Berkeley, Oakland, Hayward, Fremont and into Milpitas. Major earthquakes along the San Andreas fault happen every 200 to 300 years. All rights reserved. Create an earthquake safety plan. Today What is a seismic hazard map? Fortunately, the U.S. Geological Survey says the 4.7 quake, as it was originally reported, turned out to be only a 4.4 magnitude quake. at 03:38 February 08, 2023 UTC, Location: A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States. (6.2 miles), 2023-02-05 00:23:12 UTC Los Angeles area: Within the next 30 years the probability is: 60% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 6.7 46% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 7 31% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 7.5 will occur in the Los Angeles region. A lock () or https:// means youve safely connected to the .gov website. 9.2 km from Fontana Long after the life-threatening phase of a quake is over, you might suffer far greater long term economic disaster as you repair or rebuild your home, experience power outages, and the central business districts are shut down. (3.2 miles), 2023-02-18 10:54:21 UTC But . Probabilities and forecasts are comparable to climate probabilities and weather forecasts, while predictions are more like statements of when, where, and how large, which is not yet possible for earthquakes.
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