On a weekly basis, Evans is a volatile player, but his year-over-year production has been incredibly consistent. You could make a case Jones belongs in the Likely category based on his 2017 and 2019 seasons, although I'd argue there's a significant gap between those two campaigns and the rest of his career. Since 1970, 55 players who are eligible for Canton have hit that 8+2 mark, and 52 of them earned enshrinement. The former Ozen High star and 14-year NBA vet has more on his mind than basketball, offering essays on life, his family and America. From 2000-2003, Randy Moss put up video game numbers: 376 receptions, 5,649 yards and 49 touchdowns. James was a first-team All-Pro as a rookie, and while he missed 11 games in 2019 with a foot injury, he should get back on track in 2020. If you think this is too early for the 2019 seventh overall pick, think again. Williams needs a couple of high-profile seasons as the best left tackle in football, which is tough with Tyron Smith around. After that, we have players who are Likely to get in, who I estimate have between a 70% and 99% chance of earning induction. Gordon made it to two Pro Bowls during his five seasons with the Chargers, but injury concerns and fumble woes make it tough to see a Hall of Fame ceiling for the 2015 first-rounder. A portion of ticket purchases is a tax-deductible charitable donation to the Museum . Wide receiver, Arizona Cardinals Larry Fitzgerald's career stats: 1,432 receptions for 17,492 yards and 121 touchdowns One of the greatest wide receivers of all time, and certainly among the most dominant of his era, Fitzgerald will likely be a first-ballot Hall of Famer sometime around 2026. Jalen and Reggie Wayne connected while he was in college, and his uncle has helped him every step of the way since. to put up the accumulation stats often needed to bolster a Hall-of-Fame case. Let's run team-by-team and try to estimate each notable player's chances of making it to the Hall of Fame given his current rsum. Find out more. Tom Fears, WR, UCLA, 11th round, 103rd overall: Kiper's draft grades for every team Carmichael was one of the best wide receivers of his era. Minnesota Vikings Ring of Honor. Hes too similar to other Hall-of-Famers and future Hall-of-Famers not to be taken seriously. If Brown has a Whitworth-esque autumn to his career, he has a shot. Work to do (10% to 39%): RB Le'Veon Bell, LB C.J. Aaron Rodgers has had a lack of weapons on the Green Bay Packers Partner with Us Back. SEA | TB | TEN | WSH. It was a good weekend for wide receivers at the Pro Football Hall of Fame in Canton, Ohio. Gore had the misfortune of playing for some bad San Francisco and Indianapolis teams, but his numbers are certainly impressive. Five seasons of 100 receptions or more plus a few others that flirted with 100 make Johnson one of the most reliable wide receivers in NFL history. . Evans was a big-time NFL prospect. Harris has four Pro Bowls and a first-team All-Pro appearance in 2016, but his play has slipped over the past couple of years, and smaller cornerbacks typically don't do well after they turn 30. After five consecutive Pro Bowl campaigns, I wonder whether Landry actually has a better shot of surpassing his friend and longtime teammate. His 2016 season was one of the most impressive years we've ever seen from a quarterback, as he dominated during the regular season and won league MVP. Za'Darius Smith might have been the best pass-rusher in the league last season and has been great over the past two years on a snap-by-snap basis, but he turns 28 in September. Brown was arguably the NFLs best receiver from 2013-18 in Pittsburgh, but wasnt the same player after he left the Steelers. Lattimore has two Pro Bowl appearances in his first three seasons; if you throw out early-career players like Lattimore, Jalen Ramsey and Marcus Peters, eight of the 11 corners to pull that off since the merger are either in the Hall of Fame or going there. Work to do (10% to 39%): DE DeMarcus Lawrence, DT Gerald McCoy, LB Leighton Vander Esch. An interesting case could be made for Frank Gore, who is third all-time in rushing with 16,000 yards in a 16-season career with five teams, but tied for 19th in touchdowns with 81. Since the merger, 11 offensive linemen have been named a first-team All-Pro in four consecutive seasons, and nine of them are in the Hall of Fame. Cliff Branch and Herman Moore are two of the few exceptions, but their performance fell off significantly after their third All-Pro trip and never recovered to their prior level. Jerry Rice and Terrell Owens are two of the greatest players to ever catch a football, ranking first and second, respectively, in receiving yards and receiving touchdowns in NFL history. DT | LB | CB | Safety Gates numbers compare very favorably with those of the nine tight ends in the Hall. Where does Evans slot in? This site .css-110721q{color:#0079F0;}contains commercial content. Kamara took a step backward last season when he ran into some touchdown regression, but he still did enough to earn his third Pro Bowl appearance in three years. Fitzpatrick went from getting benched for the Dolphins in Week 1 to becoming a first-team All-Pro after his arrival in Pittsburgh; another year like 2019 will push him into Watt territory. Pictured: Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans (13). (Justin Simmons, who was one of the NFL's best safeties a year ago, is still waiting for his first Pro Bowl appearance.). Both players are on a streak, and their chances depend on keeping that streak going. Wait, Joe Burrow? But as a running back who has been above average or good seemingly forever, he's getting in. Just six of 32 Hall-eligible winners made it to Canton, although that's going to rise in the years to come as the likes of Charles Woodson and Julius Peppers win enshrinement. He looked to be firmly on a Hall trajectory at that point, but over the ensuing five seasons, he has just one Pro Bowl appearance. Likely (70% to 99%): LB Khalil Mack. He has now made three consecutive Pro Bowls, although his only first-team All-Pro nod came in 2017. Larry Fitzgerald won't be suiting up for the Arizona Cardinals for the start of the season, but the future Hall of Fame wide receiver stopped just short Friday of announcing his retirement. As a result, I'll mention them often, especially when looking at players who don't touch the ball frequently. Lock (100%): TE Jason Witten. Work to do (10% to 39%): TE Jimmy Graham, CB Kyle Fuller. And thanks to coach Kelvin Sampson and the assistants he Solomon: DeMeco Ryans the right coach at the right time, 3 pressing questions facing new Astros GM Dana Brown, Jabari Smith Jr. growing up in NBA with an assist from his father, Poor parent behavior is driving high school sports refs away. He shared a receivers room with four Hall-of-Famers and caught balls from a pair of Hall-of-Fame quarterbacks in Peyton Manning and Kurt Warner while playing in eight post-season games . Exhibits Interactive Experiences Gear Shop Pit Stop Caf Accessibility Champ the Cheetah. Guy earned six Pro Bowl nominations and three All-Pro picks before turning 30. It's possible to make the Hall of Fame as a lineman without an All-Pro appearance, but the only guy to do it since the merger is Jackie Slater. Timing can matter for players, and it has been weird for Suh. Lock (100%): RB Adrian Peterson. Panthers impressed by Derek Carr visit Adam Vinatieri will eventually join Jan Stenerud and Morten Andersen, but those guys averaged 22 seasons in the league. Bosa's case is trickier, in part because he missed four games in 2016 and nine games in 2018 with injuries. Gore is the football equivalent of somebody like MLB outfielder Jim Rice as a compiler who plays a position the electorate loves. Texans great Andre Johnson fell short of election to the Hall of Fame again this year in his second time as a modern-era finalist. Once again, its wait til next year for Texans great Andre Johnson when it comes to the Pro Football Hall of Fame. Dan Orlovsky denounces the NFL Network's Top 100 players for 2020 for excluding Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz. Work to do (10% to 39%): WR T.Y. While injuries have cost Watt 32 games over the past four seasons, his unprecedented four-season peak from 2012 to 2015 locked up things. Get started >>. Orlovsky sounds off on Wentz not making top 100 list. Mosley needs to be recognized as the best inside linebacker in the game at least a couple of times; after missing virtually all of 2019 with a groin injury, he has opted out of the 2020 season over concerns for his family's health. Wagner turned 30 in June, and after eight seasons in the league, he has six Pro Bowl appearances and five first-team All-Pro nominations. If he can keep this level of play up for three more seasons, Jordan could get in. The first game of the 2023 NFL calendar is . To use an example, I don't think Eli Manning has the rsum of a Hall of Fame quarterback, but history tells us that most quarterbacks who win two Super Bowls typically get in. As good as third-year receiver Chris Godwin has been for the Bucs this season, its hard to say that hes anything more than the Anquan Boldin to Evans Fitz. That's three Hall of Famers, two locks, and Martin, who would be a lock if the Hall valued interior linemen. He needs only three more years to get to 60,000 passing yards, and if that gets Philip Rivers in, Ryan shouldn't have much trouble. Williams made seven consecutive Pro Bowls before sitting out the 2019 season and forcing a trade to the 49ers. The only exceptions are a pair of interior offensive linemen (Alan Faneca and Steve Wisniewski) and safety John Lynch. Work to do (10% to 39%): OT Terron Armstead, OT Ryan Ramczyk. In my Week 10 WR/CB matchups piece, I highlight the upcoming matchup between Evans and Cardinals cornerback Patrick Peterson and say that we might be seeing two Canton-bound players go at each other in a one-on-one heavyweight matchup.. In one of Coach Saban's press conferences, he spoke about some of the questions asked by the players to . Of the nine corners who have debuted since the NFL-AFL merger and made the Hall of Fame, just two had been a first-team All-Pro by their third season, which puts White in good company alongside Rod Woodson and then-corner Ronnie Lott. Copyright 2000-2023 Sports Reference LLC. Every two-time winner got in easily, so while Watt might not have the longevity he hoped for, the Houston icon could retire tomorrow and get in. you might say Moss, Larry Fitzgerald and DeAndre Hopkins. Jaguars won't spend big, but here are five players they could target in free agency, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Raiders tag Josh Jacobs, the NFL's rushing leader. Kelce is difficult to judge because tight ends aren't well represented in the Hall. Likely (70% to 99%): CB Richard Sherman. Thielen only emerged as a starter after turning 26, which means he would have to play into his late 30s to have a chance at racking up the cumulative stats modern wide receivers will need for enshrinement. Here's everything we know, Richardson sets QB mark for vertical, broad jump, QB Young 5-10 1/8, 204 pounds at NFL combine, Sources: Patriots tell QB Hoyer he's being cut, Horns' Robinson: Versatility worthy of early pick, Jones: Not fixated on Cowboys' drought, just '23, Sources: Raiders plan franchise tag for Jacobs, WR Addison to Steelers' Pickett: 'Come get me', Wolverines' Turner wows with 4.26 40 at combine, Everything you need to know about Geno Smith's contract negotiations. In the running (40% to 69%): CB Jalen Ramsey. Subscribe to Stathead Football: Get your first month FREEYour All-Access Ticket to the Pro Football Reference Database. Mike Evans is on pace to be a Hall of Fame caliber wide receiver. If the Falcons had held on to their lead and won the Super Bowl, Ryan would have won game MVP, and his 2016 probably would have been enough for a gold jacket. Football Insiders with Trey Wingo. Likely (60% to 99%): RB Frank Gore. Witten is also the only Hall of Fame candidate on the Raiders' roster. Jones now has five consecutive seasons with at least 10 sacks. The Hall of Fame receiver responded with a $100 million defamation lawsuit. No promotions available. Hes No. Assessing Browns' FA needs. The suspension hurts Peterson's chances, but with eight Pro Bowls and three All-Pro appearances across his first eight seasons, his prior track record was impeccable. Beasley won a sack title. He previously worked as the sports editor at the Corpus Christi Caller-Times. He turned 32 on Friday, and while there could be more left in the tank, he probably needs another Pro Bowl season or two to ensure he makes it. Just nine tight ends are enshrined, and Kelce's game leans more toward receiving than any of them. The superstar edge rusher has made the Pro Bowl every year except 2013, when he was suspended before going down with a torn ACL. So maybe the best thing for Johnson and Texans fans is to be patient. He repeated that feat in 2019, but he'll need to have Campbell's longevity and continue at this level into his mid-30s to have a viable path to the Hall. Inside linebackers generally need to become Defensive Player of the Year candidates and earn multiple first-team All-Pro appearances to get serious consideration for Canton, but Edmunds is off to a great start. This trio is. Work to do (10% to 39%): DE Yannick Ngakoue. For now, Tom Brady and J.J. Watt lead the list of this years retirees wholl be on the ballot in 2028. I'd like to see a bigger sample before I treat that rate as gospel, and players such as DeAngelo Hall and Everson Walls had long careers without making it to the Hall, but Lattimore is off to a promising start. Gore is third in career rushing yards, which owes much to the fact that he also ranks third in carries. Jones is likely to top 13,000 receiving yards and earn his eighth Pro Bowl nod this season, which should be enough to seal things for the superstar wideout. I polled my Twitter followers and found that 42.6% of voters thought Rivers was a Hall of Famer. Players with two Pro Bowls and one first-team All-Pro spot across their first three seasons who are eligible for the Hall have made it just over 48% of the time. Pro Football Reference's Hall of Fame monitor ranks Edelman 110th among wide receivers, and that gives him credit for winning three Super Bowls. Barr made four consecutive Pro Bowls from 2015 to 2018, but it'll be tough for him to get the first-team All-Pro votes he'll need for Canton without racking up significant sack totals. Hill's game still relies on speed, so he could be more susceptible to a career shortened by injuries than most other candidates, but if he gets three more seasons with Mahomes, he's probably in. As it stands, though, Gurley doesn't have enough on his rsum to get in. Casey has made five consecutive Pro Bowls, but the Titans were willing to cut him this offseason before trading him for a seventh-round pick, which also seems telling about where they saw his future. He has three first-team All-Pro nods and a Super Bowl MVP before turning 31. Both Bosa and Kittle could make this tier placement look stupid if they have big seasons in 2020. Lock (100%): QB Aaron Rodgers. The Bucs already have the best receiver duo in the NFL in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, and the addition of a player like Brown in his prime would make this unit completely unfair. Last season was the first time Peterson missed an NFL game or failed to make the Pro Bowl, with both owing to his six-game PED suspension. Thomas now has three Pro Bowls and two first-team All-Pro nods in four years, and while there might be some sort of drop-off if Brees retires, the Ohio State product did just fine with Teddy Bridgewater on the field in 2019. Interior OL | Edge We have tools and resources that can help you use sports data. Heres what those guys did in their first five seasons and where they rank among all receivers in the age-21-to-25 cohort. He deserves it. First, its hard for young guys to adapt to the NFL. While Witten, 38, is years removed from his peak, he's going to finish his career with 11 Pro Bowl appearances and two first-team All-Pro nods. Since 1980, there have been 23 Modern-Era Wide Receivers honored by the Hall of Fame, with an average Legends Score of 29. Over that five-year span, Landry ranks third in the NFL in catches and seventh in receiving yards. Mathieu is a great player and just turned 28, so he still has plenty of time, but he probably needs four or five more Pro Bowl seasons or a DPOY victory to really get in the discussion. Since 1950, 12 players have won two or more rushing titles. Syndication Packersnews Hightower has made huge plays in two Super Bowls, having stuffed Marshawn Lynch at the 1-yard line and strip-sacked Matt Ryan, but he has rarely gotten the regular-season attention he deserves. Meanwhile, Johnson spent the first 12 years of his career with the expansion Texans, who didnt make the playoffs until his ninth season with quarterback play that ran the gamut from dreadful to above average. He doesn't need that sort of individual production to make it to the Hall of Fame, but the guys who made it in without a single first-team All-Pro appearance needed something else. Of the seven players eligible for the Hall of Fame who made it to the Pro Bowl in their age-21 campaign, six are in the Hall. In the running (40% to 69%): CB Tre'Davious White. These three Pats legends are more likely to land in the Hall of Very Good. In recent years Seattle has gained somewhat of a reputation as being the last stop for future Hall of Fame wide receivers. Grading the Jamal Adams trade Marcedes Lewis has been in the NFL for a long time. Edelman's case rests entirely on playoff and Super Bowl production. DeCastro has five consecutive Pro Bowl appearances and two All-Pro nods; if Faneca can't get in with nine consecutive Pro Bowl appearances and five All-Pro shots, DeCastro still has a lot of work to do. Moving to a higher-profile, more successful team will help Ramsey's chances of drawing national attention, although he wasn't close to Stephon Gilmore or Tre'Davious White a year ago. Six players have done that since the merger: Murray, Cam Newton, Sam Bradford, George Rogers, Billy Sims and Earl Campbell. (1:43). Stanley was a first-team All-Pro last season, which was his first serious recognition as a superstar. In the running (40% to 69%): WR Odell Beckham Jr., WR Jarvis Landry. Wilson is somewhere in the 90% range. While he has made six Pro Bowls, that's not typically enough for interior linemen to make it into the Hall. Sherman has a strong case as the best cornerback of the decade and was an essential piece of what was likely the best defense of the decade. Goff took a major step backward in 2019 and doesn't appear to be on the same level as the other top quarterbacks in the conference. Gates, a former college basketball player, had one of the greatest careers for an undrafted player, logging 16 seasons with the Chargers. He has eight Pro Bowl appearances, but he has never been a first-team All-Pro, never really been a viable pick as the best quarterback in football and has a total of four MVP votes across 14 seasons as a starter. Likely (70% to 99%): OT Jason Peters. Newton has an MVP award, which goes a long way toward pushing any player into the Hall of Fame. The star inside linebacker made his first Pro Bowl last season, which is incredible given that it was his age-21 season. Brees could have retired five years ago and comfortably made the Hall of Fame. He joined the Chronicle in January 2015 as the online sports editor. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Matthew Stafford, CB Jeff Okudah. The closest comp is Ken Anderson, who had a similar peak and won an MVP award but didn't last quite as long and hasn't been able to get in. While the wide receiver logjam is a disaster for Hall of Fame voters, Moss should present a no-brainer case one day as a first-ballot choice. Lock (100%): DT Aaron Donald. The former LSU corner was already a star on the field after his 2018 campaign, but getting that first nod is usually tougher than getting invited back. How Antonio Brown is hurting his Hall of Fame future, and what the volatile wide receiver needs to do to fix it Brown's continued off-field distractions have cast doubt on when -- and if -- he . Often, I'm making an educated guess as to what would get a player in by looking at which accomplishments and plaudits matter more to voters. Peters might not be a first-ballot Hall of Famer, but he should get in eventually. Leonard, with one All-Pro spot and a Pro Bowl appearance last year, is right behind. Work to do (10% to 39%): RB Derrick Henry, OT Taylor Lewan, DE Vic Beasley Jr., S Kevin Byard. No offensive lineman is ever a lock when guys like Faneca still aren't enshrined, but Smith plays the most prominent position on the line for the most popular team in the league. Podcast: Stat superlatives Round 1: Kiper | McShay | NFL Nation People in favor of him will point to his stats, which are clearly better than those of Eli Manning, but that ignores the point; Manning isn't getting into the Hall because of his regular-season stats. Meanwhile on offense, receiver Allen Robinson's three-year, $46.5 million contract (signed last spring) comes with $15.2 million guaranteed in 2023. A healthy, available Garrett is a Defensive Player of the Year candidate and could rise quickly. If he recovers and returns to his 2017-18 form, he still has plenty of time to get back on the Canton track, given that he turned 26 this week. Likely (70% to 99%): WR Michael Thomas. Randy Moss. The only player in the Hall of Fame primarily for his work as a punter is Ray Guy, and you could make a case that Hekker is on that track. Marriott has since been ordered by a judge to release footage of Irvin and the woman's altercation and the name of the . He's an easy Hall of Famer. Martin, who also turns 30 during the season, might not even need another nod. He rarely gets the public attention he deserves, but the Pro Bowl voters haven't ignored the interior disruptor, who has earned eight Pro Bowl nods and a pair of first-team All-Pro votes. Seymour has a better rsum and more Super Bowl rings and hasn't made it in, but he peaked earlier in his career; if Campbell can stay productive and win a ring or two with the Ravens, it might push him into more significant consideration. Exclusive: Abbott explains push against diversity hiring programs, Texas wants to ban delta-8, but veterans are pushing back, UH, Texas A&M removing DEI statements from hiring practices, The Breakfast Klub sues prominent City Hall consultant for fraud, Astros GM Dana Brown the antithesis of his predecessors, Houston is the most stressful city to work in, says new study, Lauren Daigle at Houston Rodeo: 'God always has your number', Galveston gets fourth Carnival Cruise Line, was not elected in his second time as a modern-era finalist, Houston-area boys basketball playoffs: Regional final scores, Texas Southern falls to rival Prairie View A&M in season finale, Washington advances to state basketball tournament, UT ends regular season on high note with win over Kansas, UH's basketball rivalry with Memphis could end as soon as Sunday. But Thomas rsum with six first team All-Pro selections and 10 Pro Bowl trips helped overcome any shortcomings with team success. Lock (100%): WR Larry Fitzgerald. will Evans play and how productive will he be? But history tells us that's a lot to ask. Mack is entering what is likely to be his final season with the Falcons. In related news, the Cowboys also have a running back likely bound for the Hall. There could still be a season in which Mike Zimmer needs to use Barr as an edge rusher and he ends up with 10 sacks, but that's not going to be enough. 1 pick and winning Offensive Rookie of the Year, but that hasn't historically been a helpful combination. We don't talk enough about Hunter, who only has two Pro Bowl nods over his first five seasons. There are another 11 players who aren't yet Hall-eligible, and five of them are locks to do the same. OBJ hasn't made a Pro Bowl since 2016, and while this could be a bounce-back year for the former Giants star, another middling campaign would push him into the "Work to do" tier. He has two first-team All-Pro appearances over the past five years, but it's likely too little, too late. Author: Nate Greer. If a receiver can enter the league and perform well right away at a boyish age, that speaks well for his future as he develops. Its not at all random that hes become a big-time NFL player. In the running (40% to 69%): S Eddie Jackson. Garrett has played at a much higher level than Mayfield, but the $125 million man has missed 11 of 48 games thanks to various injuries and his season-ending suspension in 2019.
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